Analysis of Holiday Crashes in Alberta

نویسنده

  • Sabreena Anowar
چکیده

Motor vehicle crashes during the statutory holiday festive periods are on the rise in Alberta, Canada. For example, in the year 2004 a total of 6706 collisions occurred during the holidays and long weekends which killed 33 people and injured more than 1500 people. Whereas in 2007, the total number of crashes increased to 11639 in which 48 people were killed and more than 2000 people were injured. Yet little research has been done on this subject matter. Therefore, this research was aimed at shedding some light on the characteristics of the accidents occurring on the holidays on Albertan roadways and find out if these accidents are significantly different from the non-holiday period accidents. Chi-square test of statistical significance has been applied to accident data for the years 2004-2006. In addition, a binary logistic regression model has also been applied to the data to find out the contributing factors affecting the fatality risk of such accidents. Our study showed a decreasing trend in the traffic fatality risk during the holidays. Also season, time, post collision manoeuvre, lighting condition, driver age and gender were found to be the important determinants of the fatal holiday crashes in Alberta.

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تاریخ انتشار 2010